S2 E58 — Check Back in 18 Months

What if the COVID-19 pandemic is severe and unfolds inconsistently across the world? And, the ability of China, Taiwan, and South Korea to contain the outbreak through strong, centralized government response becomes the “gold standard?”

“5”  Steve Jobs, (1955 – 2011): Sometimes it seems that your idealistic imagination is at war with the reality of a situation. Not today, which brings a brilliant blend of the practical and the sublime.” Pisces

Hi and welcome to Friday’s Episode 58 in Season 2 of  “My Pandemic Year Natural Experiment” on this 5th day of June in the summer of 2020.  

“The Tau of Steves: What You Don’t Know Could Fill a Book”

Table of Contents

Season One and Two are a two-year examination of how bits of wisdom changed during the “normal” pre-pandemic and then in this unfolding pandemic year.

Previously in Season Two, the Pandemic Year

S2 E57Science and Medicine or Politically-Motivated Misinformation?; S2 E56What Iffing; S2 E55Dreaming of 30 Tempting Getaways

Related from Season One, the Normal Year

S1 E58Judging a Stroll from the Hotel Santa Barbara to the Lobero Theater; S1 E57More or Less in the Know; S1 E56It’s Frickin’ Summer and So Are You; S1 E55All Roads Lead to the Future

Context

How will our pandemic lives play out?  Back to our continuing series drawing upon the report from Deloitte and Salesforce’s “The world remade by COVID-19 Scenarios for resilient leaders | 3-5 years.”

Scenario 1: “Passing Storm” for which the scenario story tellers assume governments communicate the severity of the pandemic and gets us citizens to take the crisis seriously and go along with the quarantine program.  

Scenario 2: “The Good Company” embraces their corporate responsibility by focusing on their long-term enlightened self-interest with investments in their employees and in the communities where they life and work.

Scenario 3  Sunrise in the east

The COVID-19 pandemic is severe and unfolds inconsistently across the world. 

China and other East Asian countries manage the disease more effectively, whereas Western nations struggle with deep and lasting impacts—human, social, and economic—driven by slower and inconsistent responses. 

The global center of power shifts decisively east as China and other East Asian nations take the reins as primary powers on the world stage and lead global coordination of the health system and other multilateral institutions. 

The ability of China, Taiwan, and South Korea to contain the outbreak through strong, centralized government response becomes the “gold standard.”

This scenario turns out to be a golden moment for East Asian countries, because they emerge from the recovery period with less economic impact. 

As an example of a good global citizen, but with self-interest firmly in mind, China significantly ramps up foreign direct investment efforts, bolstering its global reputation. 

Because so much is at stake people accept greater surveillance mechanisms as part of the public good. And as a result, economic recovery begins late 2021, with notably quicker and more robust recovery in the East.

Evidence

“4” Steve Zahn, 51: “In addition to fun, your prospect has love, resources and inspiration to offer you. Would you believe this is only the start of it? There’s much more to be explored here.” Scorpio

This only makes sense given we’re still in our extended Anniversary celebration.

Random ones that make me want change my sign.

“3”  Steve Smith, 30: It’s a day of bright ideas. You will energize different areas of your life with vitalizing agents such as useful tools, surprisingly efficient methods, beauty, humor and creativity.” Gemini

I say not so much.  A better description might be I’m frustrated with tools and inefficient methods far outweighing my high energy, bright ideas.  Where can I find those useful tools and way more inefficient methods?

“4”  Steve Kerr, 54:People will want to know about you. Though you see the value in keeping mystery alive. If knowledge is power, then you’ll be more powerful as you hold back some of the information.” Libra

Okay, now that energizes me.  Let’s hope knowledge is power, because ignorance is definitely not bliss during this second season.

“3”  Steve Aoki, 41: This is your day. You’ll hit the green lights, get in the right grocery store line, find the prime parking space. The little things that go right are signs that big things will go right, too.” Sagittarius

Sure, I get how this might brighten my day — given all of those little things have been upended.

“3”  Steve Nash, 45:There’s no end to a circle. To be included in one can feel wonderfully secure or like entrapment. With circles, you have to break in and break out.” Aquarius

And, doesn’t it seem like we’re choosing off on the basis of “us” vs. “them” circles?

“5”  Steve Jobs, (1955 – 2011): Sometimes it seems that your idealistic imagination is at war with the reality of a situation. Not today, which brings a brilliant blend of the practical and the sublime.” Pisces

Unless you shift the frame and follow those eight scenario steps which give you ample time to employ divergent and convergent thinking to prepare you to better anticipate uncertain futures.

What’s Going On

Literally Bottled and Set Adrift from KnowWhere Atoll 

    • @knowlabs followers of one or more of my 35 digital magazines organically grew from 3188 to 3698.

Foresight

Quality-of-Life 

Long-Form

    • Saw the movie, didn’t realize that one of my favorite authors, Michael Connelly — his detective Hieronymus (Harry) Bosch book series and Amazon Prime series — also wrote, “The Lincoln Lawyer” which I just finished. Gotta tell you I can’t not see his lead character (Mickey Haller, Bosch’s half brother) as anyone else but Matthew McConaughey. 

Image Credit: Wikimedia Commons

Inspired by: Holiday Mathis – Creators Syndicate

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