S2 E51 — Let’s Agree to Make Things Worse, Shall We?

For making sense of our future we began with 19 uncertainties and then narrowed the focus to 5 yesterday, but today let’s see what the team said about the most critical. The two critical uncertainties driving the overall impact of COVID-19 are the severity and levels of collaboration.

The Tau of Steves: What You Don’t Know Could Fill a Book

“5”  Steve Carell, 57; Steve Martin, 74; Steve Wozniak, 69: You’re looking for an answer that feels right and actionable to you. You’ve followed lines of logic, but none of them satisfied. So try switching off your head and letting your inner guidance system have a go at this.” Leo

Hi and welcome to Saturday’s Episode 51 in Season 2 of  “My Pandemic Year Experiment” on this 23rd day of May in the spring of 2020.  

Season 1 and 2 are a two-year examination of how bits of wisdom changed during the “normal” pre-pandemic and then in this unfolding pandemic year.

Previously in Season Two, the Pandemic Year

S2 E505 Fundamental Uncertainties; S2 E49Navigating Waves of Disruption When You’ve Lost Your Bearings; S2 E48 Tracking Millennials from One Resort to Another

Related from Season One, the Normal Year

S1 E51Brief, Broad, Fast, Wow and Delight; S1 E50The Bias Brothers or Just Plain Losers?; S1 E49Magnetize the Version You Imagine; S1 E48Holiday TauBit Trumps Funk

Context

Without throwing anything away we’re zeroing in on the key dynamics identified in Deloitte and Salesforce’s “The world remade by COVID-19 Scenarios for resilient leaders | 3-5 years.”

For making sense of our future we began with 19 uncertainties and then narrowed the focus to 5 yesterday, but today let’s see what the team said about the most critical.

The two critical uncertainties driving the overall impact of COVID-19 are the severity and levels of collaboration.

From lower impact (what we want) to higher impact (waves grow in intensity)

    • Rapid peak — the virus’s spread peaks out rapidly but quickly declines
    • Self-dampening — eventual heard immunity is reached by rapid exposure
    • Gradual progression — the virus grows gradually and lasts longer
    • Roller-coaster — Decreasing degrees of severity though seasonal waves reoccur 
    • Second-act — Growing in strength a second wave emerges

How do we respond? Will it be a significantly coordinated effort or will it be weak and divided?

Coordinated response could take actions like:

    • Nations ‘think big and act fast’.  Coordinated strategies and shared best practices “(mandated quarantines and testing)”
    • Agreements to reduce mobility of people are coordinated and slow transmission
    • Public institutions take measures now with a strategy of preventing future spreads

Or uncoordinated actions waste precious resources and response times:

    • Lack of coordination among governments jeopardize already limited resources and medical supplies
    • Little accountability and information trigger communication breakdowns
    • Disease carriers are free to travel and spread the virus to others

Evidence

“3”  Steve Zahn, 51: “Your best idea will come as a joke. So you have nothing to lose from thinking in funny terms and letting humor, playfulness and creativity run rampant in your mind.” Scorpio

Having facilitated scenario sessions to tease out for stories about the future, I’ve relied heavily on creative, playful activities.  I’m just wired that way, trying to find the funny even in dire situations.  Haha.

Random ones that make me want change my sign.

“3”  Steve McQueen (1930 – 1980): “You’re different from the others, so it naturally follows that you’ll ask different questions and have novel interactions. You’re memorable and will be adored for this.” Aries

Yuppers, as Sis would say.  This might be one of my defining qualities that I bring to advisory sessions.  One can only hope to be memorable and adored.

“5”  Steve Carell, 57; Steve Martin, 74; Steve Wozniak, 69: You’re looking for an answer that feels right and actionable to you. You’ve followed lines of logic, but none of them satisfied. So try switching off your head and letting your inner guidance system have a go at this.” Leo

Which if you follow the scenario exploration approach to strategic decision-making is the fun next step, we’ll take up tomorrow as illustrated by Deloitte and Salesforce.

“4”  Steve Greene, 34; Steve Guttenberg, 61; Stephen King, 72:It’s said that every big problem was once a minor disturbance. That’s why you like to handle things when they are small, and you’re very sensitive to all red flags, even the itty-bitty ones!” Virgo

Boy, did the red flags and air horns go off when President Trump denied land access to those poor vacationers who caught COVID-19 on a cruise ship, because the numbers would make him look bad.

“4”  Steve Kerr, 54:It shouldn’t be too hard to be good. And if it feels that way, maybe it’s the rules or environment that needs changing, not you. The river needs no special devotion, goodness or willpower to flow effortlessly home to the sea.” Libra

I forget you played for Phil Jackson in Chicago — this sounds so zen-like and right.

“5”  Steve Aoki, 41: Though you can’t change the past, you can always change the way you see it. Perhaps you’ve been harsh, not assessing the bigger picture. How else could you frame the story?” Sagittarius

And, for this reason, I wanted to layout a vital example of how you can assess the bigger picture to better frame the story.

“4”  Steve Jobs, (1955 – 2011): Being stuck is a function of having too much, not too little. Let go of an idea or item and then see if you don’t have a little more wiggle room. Jettison enough baggage and you can walk right out.” Pisces

We introverts are especially guilty.  If you’re also an idea packager like me too much data and following seemingly interrelated concepts only create analysis-paralysis.  Point taken.

What’s Going On

Literally Bottled and Set Adrift from KnowWhere Atoll 

    • @knowlabs followers of one or more of my 35 digital magazines grew from 2663 to 2839.

Foresight

Quality-of-Life  

Long-Form

    • Saw the movie, didn’t realize that one of my favorite authors, Michael Connelly — his detective Hieronymus (Harry) Bosch book series and Amazon Prime series — also wrote, “The Lincoln Lawyer” which I just finished. Gotta tell you I can’t not see his lead character (Mickey Haller, Bosch’s half brother) as anyone else but Matthew McConaughey. 

Image Credit: Wikimedia Commons

Inspired by: Holiday Mathis – Creators Syndicate

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